One of the most frustrating aspects of day trading can be that gap up or down. For one thing, much of the day's move is often spent within the gap itself, leaving little for the remainder of the day. But here is a relatively simple method for determining the day's top or bottom, based on what I call the "50% Phenomenon", which occurs very often in the intra day charts.

The rules are easy to remember.

1. The gap must come after a Reversal
A stock that has been moving up, will peak and turn back down, or maybe consolidate sideways a little first. Then the next morning it gaps down. It is at this high point that we begin our calculations.

2. Measure the white space of the gap, and not necessarily the open and closing points.
Since most day trading charting software has Fibonacci lines built in, use this tool to drag your 50% line exactly halfway between the low of the upper gap and the high of the lower gap. This usually happens in the last half hour of the previous day, and the first half hour of the new day. In the chart below, notice how the last half hour saw the low, and then ticked up a couple bars before the close. The next day saw a high after a few bars. We are not measuring the gap between the open and close; instead we are interested in the white space of the gap itself.

Now note how the bottom of the day was very near our 0% line before it turned back up. The 50% Phenomenon gave us our low of the day target within the first half hour of trading.

3. The 50% line could be at the beginning of the gap, the center of the gap, or the end of the gap.
If you're thinking that the above chart was a bit too easy, you're right. Here we see a gap with upward momentum. Notice that the 50% line was placed at the beginning of the gap, rather than the middle. Placing the 50% line in the center of the gap would have given us an incorrect target for the day's high.

In this example we see that the correct placement of the 50% line was actually the end of the gap. This chart is moving downward, so don't confuse it with the chart above. Also note that I averaged the high of the first half hour, choosing the highs of the first two bars -- which were in agreement -- and ignoring the third bar high. After all, chart reading is a combination of art and science, with a little bit of voodoo for good measure!

The question you are probably asking is this: How do we know exactly where to place the 50% line when we first see the gap? The answer is simple: We don't.

Here we see my first attempt at targeting the high of the day by placing my 50% line in the center of the gap. This looked pretty accurate through the first half of the day, and I expected price to flat line or fall back from this point. But surprise! There was still lots of juice left.

Now here is something interesting. We have two gaps in succession. When I saw this one morning I remembered that the 50% Phenomenon worked from the base point of a reversal, so I didn't think it would work for that second gap. But you can see by the naked eye that it would have anyway. By using the high of that middle day (the 9th) as our foundation point, and placing our 50% line in the center of that last gap, it would have correctly targeted the low of the day the 12th).

But that is not what is so fascinating about this chart. Notice that the center of the middle day, is the correct 50% Phenomenon point for the 3-Day move.

Taking the 50% Phenomenon a step further, we see that it can also work within periods of consolidation. Note the gap. The standard center method worked very well in targeting the bottom of the next day (black line set). On the third day I noticed that much of the day was a "flat line," so I placed my 50% line right through the center of it, which accurately targeted the bottom of the fourth day (blue line set).

As with any chart pattern, the 50% Phenomenon doesn't work every time, so it's essential to have a stop-loss strategy. But once you begin to look for it, I think you will be amazed at how often it appears, and how reliable it can be.